The S&P 500 is a key index that is commonly utilized by investors and analysts to gauge the overall health of the US equity market. This article will delve into the expected performance of the S&P 500, specifically focusing on the Elliott Wave forecast for July 11, 2023.
Understanding the S&P 500
Before we dive into the forecast, it’s essential to understand what the S&P 500 actually represents. The S&P 500 is a stock market index that includes 500 of the largest companies listed on the US stock exchanges.
The Elliott Wave Principle
To understand the forecast, it’s crucial to grasp the Elliott Wave Principle. The Elliott Wave theory is a method of technical analysis that looks for recurrent long-term price patterns related to persistent changes in investor sentiment and psychology.
“The Wave Principle is Ralph Nelson Elliott’s discovery that social, or crowd, behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns.” – Ralph Nelson Elliott
Key Support and Resistance Levels
The S&P 500 has shown remarkable resilience, holding the A wave support at 4386 and making a reversal. However, for a potential upward trend to be established, the index needs to clear the 0.786 resistance level at 4430. This would pave the way for a test of the 1.00 Fibonacci resistance at 4460.
If the index fails to hold the A wave support at 4386, a full C wave to around 4370-4380 could be expected.
Potential Breakthrough of Resistance
A breakthrough of 4430 would set up a 5 of 3 wave to the 4659 target. This represents a significant potential gain that investors could take advantage of.
The Impact of the Fibonacci Levels
The Fibonacci levels play a crucial role in predicting potential price movements. In this forecast, the 1.00 Fibonacci resistance at 4460 is a key level that could either restrict or enable further price increases.
Potential Downside Risk
If the S&P 500 fails to hold the A wave support at 4386, there’s a downside risk that the index could experience a full C wave to around 4370-4380. This represents a potential loss that investors need to be aware of.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the outlook for the S&P 500 according to the Elliott Wave forecast for July 11, 2023, is mixed, with potential for both gains and losses. Investors need to closely monitor the key support and resistance levels to make informed decisions.
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