SMCI Elliott Wave Forecast – April 12, 2024
Introduction
The SMCI stock has been displaying intriguing Elliott Wave patterns, indicating potential future movements and market sentiment. This forecast provides insights into the recent and anticipated movements of SMCI, highlighting key patterns, support and resistance levels, and potential scenarios based on technical analysis.
Recent Market Trends
- Completion of 5 Wave Pattern: Long-term analysis of SMCI reveals a completed 5 wave pattern that concluded at 1225. Following this bullish pattern completion, the stock is currently undergoing a corrective zigzag Wave 2, reflecting short-term bearish sentiment and potential for corrective movements.
Potential Scenarios
- Worst-Case Scenario: In the event of a full C wave correction, SMCI could potentially decline to as low as 720-740. This scenario would represent an A = C pattern, indicating strong bearish momentum and potential for extended corrective movements before a potential reversal or continuation of the bullish trend.
- Best-Case Scenario: Conversely, in a bullish scenario, SMCI could experience a breakout above 1050 or the top of the Wave 2. Full B wave resistance is identified at 1120, and if the stock can clear 1050 and sustain momentum above 1120, we could witness a clear break of 1225, paving the way for a Wave 3 with a potential target of 2000.
Key Resistance and Support Levels
- Resistance Levels: Full B wave resistance is identified at 1120, and a clear breakout above this level could signal strong bullish momentum and potential for further upward movement in the stock.
- Support Levels: In the worst-case scenario, key support levels to monitor include 720-740, representing potential targets for the completion of a full C wave correction.
Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis of SMCI suggests a range of potential scenarios, from a bearish full C wave correction to a bullish breakout and continuation of the long-term bullish trend. Monitoring key resistance and support levels, particularly 1050 and 1120, will be crucial in assessing the stock’s potential direction and confirming the anticipated Wave 3 with a target of 2000. As the market continues to evolve, staying informed on key technical levels, patterns, and market sentiment will be essential for making well-informed investment decisions and navigating the dynamic landscape of SMCI.